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Above Average Hurricane Season Predicted

5 Major Hurricanes Projected

POSTED: Wednesday, April 9, 2008
UPDATED: 5:39 pm EDT April 9,2008

Forecasters at Colorado State University are predicting a "well above-average" Atlantic hurricane season in 2008.

The forecasters are predicting 15 named storms, eight hurricanes and five major hurricanes -- Category 3 or higher -- for the season which begins June 1. The December prediction had called for 13 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

"We have increased our seasonal forecast from our initial early December prediction," forecasters William Gray and Philip Klotzbach wrote in their report. "We anticipate an above-average probability of United States major hurricane landfall."

An average of 5.9 hurricanes form in the Atlantic each year.

"The Atlantic is a bit warmer than in the past couple of years," said Klotzbach. "That is something we would like to keep an eye on."

Gray has been issuing his forecast for 25 years, but he and others have been criticized in recent years for having forecasts that were off the mark.


Past Hurricane Forecasts
HURRICANE SEASON DEC. FORECAST APRIL FORECAST ACTUAL
2008 Named Storms: 13
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
Named Storms: 15
Hurricanes: 8
Major Hurricanes:5
Named Storms:
Hurricanes:
Major Hurricanes:
2007 Named Storms: 14
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
Named Storms: 17
Hurricanes: 9
Major Hurricanes: 5
Named Storms: 15
Hurricanes: 6
Major Hurricanes: 2
2006 Named Storms: 17
Hurricanes: 9
Major Hurricanes: 5
Named Storms: 17
Hurricanes: 9
Major Hurricanes: 5
Named Storms: 10
Hurricanes: 5
Major Hurricanes: 2
2005 Named Storms: 11
Hurricanes: 6
Major Hurricanes: 3
Named Storms: 13
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
Named Storms: 28
Hurricanes: 15
Major Hurricanes: 7
2004 Named Storms: 13
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
Named Storms: 14
Hurricanes: 8
Major Hurricanes: 3
Named Storms: 15
Hurricanes: 9
Major Hurricanes: 6
2003 Named Storms: 12
Hurricanes: 8
Major Hurricanes:3
Named Storms: 12
Hurricanes: 8
Major Hurricanes: 3
Named Storms: 16
Hurricanes: 7
Major Hurricanes: 3
Source: Colorado State University Department of Atmospheric Science
Note: CSU makes its first forecast for each hurricane season is made the previous December.

2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Names

  • Arthur
  • Bertha
  • Cristobal
  • Dolly
  • Edouard
  • Fay
  • Gustav
  • Hanna
  • Ike
  • Josephine
  • Kyle
  • Laura
  • Marco
  • Nana
  • Omar
  • Paloma
  • Rene
  • Sally
  • Teddy
  • Vicky
  • Wilfred
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